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China's Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs cut its 2018/19 soybean import forecast to 83.65 million tonnes, down 10.2 million from the prior month's 93.85 million. The revision is tied to the ongoing trade dispute with Washington, which included Beijing's additional 25% tariffs on U.S. goods.
A lower Chinese import forecast signals weaker demand for soybeans and meal, which is bearish for global soy prices and for soymeal used in feed. Reduced hog-sector demand for protein feed also points to softer crush demand.
reuters.comSep 12, 2018After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
