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Chinese buyers purchased at least 20 cargoes of Brazilian soybeans for delivery when the new harvest arrives early 2020, as uncertainty over the US trade deal prompted them to lock in supplies. About 30 cargoes total were booked including some US and Argentine.
Chinese crushers nearly exhausted a 10-million-tonne tariff-free US quota, and without more waivers US beans may struggle against Brazil.
Heavy Chinese buying of Brazilian beans shifts export flows away from the US, supporting Brazilian soybean demand and pressuring US soybean prices.
manitobacooperator.caDominique Patton, Hallie GuDec 9, 2019After 803 past bearish trade events, SOY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, SBM moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 52 past trade events, USDBRL moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.8%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
