After trade talks in U.S., China ramps up Brazilian soy purchases

After 250 past neutral trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Nov 3, 2025Chinese buyers purchase Brazilian soybeans as prices ease over US-China trade thaw | Reuters+0.2%
• Nov 14, 2019Trade talks hit bump as China resists US demands on agricultural purchases+0.3%
• Jun 28, 2019Propelled by U.S. Trade Talks, China Charts a Course to Soybean Security-1.7%
• Jan 15, 2020What's in the U.S.-China Phase 1 trade deal-1.6%
• May 13, 2025US farmers say Brazil keeps edge in China's soy market despite trade truce | Reuters-1.4%

After 16 past bullish trade events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.

• May 28, 2020China securing Brazilian soy with US trade tensions rising-4.5%
• Jul 9, 2025Trump imposes 50% tariffs on Brazil after spat with Lula+1.9%
• Jul 17, 2025U.S. tariff dispute weighs on Brazil’s real and interest rates-0.3%
• Aug 26, 2019USA vs China: Latin American currencies suffer with the trade war - LatinAmerican Post+0.3%
• Jul 16, 2026USD/BRL Near R$5.09: Can Brazil's Carry Trade Absorb the New 25% US Tariff? | EBC Financial Group-0.4%