
Soybeans rose 23 cents to a 12-month high on reports that the US and China are close to a trade deal. December soymeal gained $4.10 to a nine-week high, and wheat rose to six-week highs with possible US wheat purchases by China.
Cattle futures fell $6.75.
Expected Chinese purchases of US soybeans and wheat would lift export demand and US crush support. Trade deal uncertainty means the rally could reverse if talks stall.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 224 past bullish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Reports that the US and China are close to a trade deal sent soybeans to a 12-month high and soymeal to a nine-week high on 10/27, which fits the demand and sentiment driver of the one-day jump.
Reports of a near US-China trade deal and possible Chinese purchases of US wheat pushed wheat to six-week highs on 2025-10-27, directly matching the move date and demand-driven mechanism.
Cattle futures fell $6.75 in the Oct 27 session, a large drop within the 5-day window.