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Soybean oil futures in Chicago posted their biggest two-day rally in over a year. The move followed reports that Indonesia is preparing tariffs and other measures to protect its textile industry from Chinese imports, raising fears of Chinese retaliation against Indonesian palm oil.
Possible Chinese retaliation against Indonesian palm oil could tighten vegetable oil supply and redirect demand toward soybean oil, supporting prices. Feed buyers may see higher costs for soy-based oils and meals.
news.bloomberglaw.comTarso VelosoJul 2, 2024After 224 past bullish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 133 past bullish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (64% higher; middle half -0.8% to +2.3%), and +1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Fears of Chinese retaliation against Indonesian palm oil triggered the biggest two-day soyoil rally in over a year, starting the move.
The Indonesia-China trade spat triggered the biggest two-day soyoil rally in over a year, starting the run that continued into July 8.
