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Soybean stocks at Chinese ports hit a record 10.3 million tons on Nov. 7, up 3.6 million tons from a year earlier, while crushers held 7.5 million tons, the most since 2017.
Physical soymeal prices in key coastal regions have fallen more than 20% from an April peak to around 3,000 yuan per ton.
A large port overhang and weak soymeal prices reduce Chinese import urgency, pressuring US soybean export prospects and soymeal values.
reuters.comNaveen Thukral, Ella CaoNov 12, 2025After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
