
Palm oil futures rose to RM2,359 a tonne, their highest since June 2018, after China granted waivers for 10 million tonnes of US soybeans, lifting soyoil on CBOT and Dalian. Malaysian palm exports to China jumped about 42% in the first 20 days of October.
Chinese soybean purchase waivers lift soyoil and substitute vegetable oil prices, and stronger Malaysian exports to China support palm.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 133 past bullish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (64% higher; middle half -0.8% to +2.3%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 224 past bullish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.