
Malaysian palm oil futures rose to a near two-month high on June 1, with the August contract up 1.7%. Malaysia's May exports rose 7-8.4% from April, and India's buying has resumed.
Stronger export volumes and the expected zero export tax in June tighten available supply and support palm oil prices, which also lifts competing vegetable oils.
After 133 past bullish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (64% higher; middle half -0.8% to +2.3%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 224 past bullish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Strong May Malaysian exports (+7-8.4% m/m) and resumed Indian buying point to rising demand, and drove futures to a near two-month high on June 1, so they are consistent with the rally, though the dates are slightly after the move window.