
Argentine exports of grain, oilseeds and derivatives fell 17% month-on-month to $3.16 billion in July, and 10% year-on-year, according to the CIARA-CEC chamber. The chamber blamed weather, trucker roadblocks and delayed export tax rebates.
Lower Argentine export flows tighten near-term supply of soy products, which is supportive for meal and oil prices, while crusher idle capacity signals weak domestic processing.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 224 past bullish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.