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Soybean futures posted a record one-day gain on July 6 as the 25 percent Chinese tariffs on U.S. soybeans took effect. Chinese purchases had slowed, but U.S. beans became so cheap that other countries increased purchases, according to U.S. government data.
Cheap U.S. beans drew buyers from other countries, which supports export demand and limits downside, though China's absence keeps the broader market weak.
bloomberg.comMegan Durisin AlberyJul 6, 2018After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 224 past neutral trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.2%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
