U.S. Soybean Prices Crumble as Trade War Sparks Brazil Rally

After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Dec 27, 2018As trade war crushes China's soybean mills, U.S. rivals make hay+3.5%
• Sep 26, 2018Graphic: Crop chop - China shuns U.S. soybeans amid trade war, turns to Brazil+2.4%
• Aug 20, 2023China July soybean imports from US tumble, Brazil shipments surge - Markets - Business Recorder+1.3%
• Jun 20, 2018China trade war could permanently scar U.S. soybean market: Braun-2.4%
• Dec 5, 2019Soybeans take the slow boat to China as trade war rumbles on - Splash247+1.8%

After 224 past neutral trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.2%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Dec 8, 2025China Set for Record 2025 Soybean Imports on Brazil Buys, U.S. Trade Truce-1.5%
• Oct 30, 2019Soybean Prices are a Proxy for How the Trade War is Going - Global Trade Magazine-0.1%
• Nov 22, 2018Trump's China trade war forces U.S. soybeans to take costly detour+0.1%
• Dec 3, 2018Trump’s trade war sees US soybean exports heading south-0.1%
• May 15, 2017USSEC Provides Soy Trade Price Risk Management Training to Chinese Soy Crushers and Feed Millers - U.S. Soybean Export Council-0.9%