China Set for Record 2025 Soybean Imports on Brazil Buys, U.S. Trade Truce

After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.

• Jul 3, 2024China poised for record July soybean imports on low prices-2.0%
• Dec 25, 2020China's Nov soybean imports from U.S. surge on year after trade deal - Markets - Business Recorder+4.2%
• Jan 20, 2021China's 2020 U.S. soybean imports surged though likely missed trade target-1.1%
• Sep 10, 2024China Aug soybean imports at record 12.14mn tons+0.5%
• Mar 3, 2018China soybean buyers will cope if U.S. trade spat hits imports: New Hope-3.0%

After 224 past neutral trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.2%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Aug 7, 2025China soybean imports hit record July high on strong Brazil exports, US trade uncertainties | Reuters+4.3%
• Dec 22, 2017China tightens import rules for U.S. soybeans-0.5%
• Jun 23, 2026U.S. fights with Brazil for China's giant soybean market+1.1%
• Nov 12, 2018U.S. soybean farmers hang on for dear life in Trump's China trade war+1.7%
• Jan 25, 2019China's 2018 soybean imports from U.S. hit lowest since 2008-0.7%