Loading…
US soybean farmers are holding crops in storage to wait out the trade war, which has more than doubled US soybean inventories. Soybean imports by China are down nearly 90%, and prices have fallen below $9 a bushel from above $11 earlier in the year.
Bloomberg pegs July soybean futures at $9.27 on hopes for a G20 deal.
Doubled inventories and collapsed Chinese demand keep US soybean prices under pressure, while the futures curve implies some recovery if a trade deal emerges at the G20.
axios.comNov 12, 2018After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 224 past neutral trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.2%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
