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Trade war tariffs cut US soybean exports to China, which had accounted for over 60% of US soybean exports as recently as 2016. US exports to China reportedly fell to zero in November 2019.
Loss of China as an export market keeps US soybean demand weak and export prices pressured.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.