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The article outlines expected El Niño conditions across the southeastern United States and Eastern Seaboard, including a typically cool, wet winter in the South. Unusually warm Gulf and Atlantic waters could increase the risk of high tides and flooding rains, while El Niño also shifts seasonal temperature and precipitation patterns.
The outlook raises the possibility of localized crop and infrastructure disruptions from wet conditions and flooding, but the article does not identify a specific crop-supply change or clear price direction.
yaleclimateconnections.orgBob HensonNov 11, 2026After 2,467 past weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.7%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 1,964 past weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,773 past weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 361 past weather events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
