
Cargill AWB reports NSW crop progress is mixed, with early-sown crops developing well while late-sown areas after excessive rain lag behind. Northern NSW has had a dry run allowing final planting, while central NSW has seen further rain delaying progress.
Growers face choices about late-sowing winter barley or fallow.
Late sowing in NSW implies likely yield penalties, slightly tightening Australian barley and wheat supply expectations.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.