
Rain delayed the NSW winter crop harvest in the past week, especially in southern NSW, and downgraded wheat segregations were opened. Hard 2 and Australian Premium White bids rose $10-15/t, feed wheat held near A$300/t Port Kembla, and canola rebounded by about A$40/t to near A$760/t after Statistics Canada cut its canola forecast.
Rain-related quality concerns firm milling wheat values, while a Canadian canola production cut supports oilseed prices. Feed wheat prices were steady, so the feed impact is limited.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.