Record El Niño Behind Historic Rains Stalling Harvest Across the U.S.

After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Aug 10, 2026El Niño's Growing Threat: A Slower Harvest at Home, A Bigger Problem in Brazil - AgWeb+3.0%
• May 24, 2023The U.S. Now Has a Nearly 90% Chance of Seeing El Niño This Summer - AgWeb-3.4%
• Oct 21, 2022Unease ahead of 2023 grain harvest as record U.S. dryness spreads-0.9%
• Oct 1, 2026Historic El Niño puts Brazil crops at risk as Argentina gains a weather edge-1.2%
• Jan 26, 2018Daily rains slow Brazil’s early bean harvest+0.3%

After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.

• May 24, 2023The U.S. Now Has a Nearly 90% Chance of Seeing El Niño This Summer - AgWeb-1.7%
• Aug 10, 2026El Niño's Growing Threat: A Slower Harvest at Home, A Bigger Problem in Brazil - AgWeb+1.5%
• May 15, 2025Argentina's soy farmers race ahead with harvest to beat the rains-0.4%
• Oct 1, 2026Historic El Niño puts Brazil crops at risk as Argentina gains a weather edge+0.3%
• Apr 21, 2021As Corn Climbs Above $6, Here's What's Behind the Market Move - AgWeb+5.3%