Pulses, Edible Oils And Paddy Acreage Down By 23%; Wheat Sowing May Drop By 59%

After 179 past bullish weather events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.5%), and +2.2% over 20.

• Dec 18, 2019Not Only Onion Prices, Rice, Pulses, Edible Oil Will Cost More Because Of Untimely Floods+2.1%
• Apr 27, 2023Threat of El Niño looms, FAO prepares anticipatory actions with Members and partners+4.7%
• Jul 12, 20232023/53 “Rice Production and Food Security in Southeast Asia under Threat from El Niño” by Elyssa Ludher and Paul Teng – ISEAS – Yusof Ishak Institute-18.7%
• Apr 9, 2026Rising Odds of Strong El Niño Point to Global Weather and Crop Impacts - Bloomberg-1.4%
• Jan 21, 2019SunRice profit down 42pc despite global price gains – and ASX listing nears | Farm Online | ACT+0.9%

After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.

• Mar 31, 2026Wheat Prices Surge on US Drought and Planting Uncertainty-0.7%
• Sep 22, 2020Drought hampering Black Sea crop sowing sparks light in wheat prices | The Land | NSW+5.6%
• Sep 8, 2021FEATURE: Rising wheat prices make pasta and bread expensive | S&P Global+2.2%
• Dec 13, 2023France sees fall in winter wheat and barley sowing after rain+1.9%
• Mar 18, 2021WHEAT SCOOPS: Down 50 cents and still a good price+0.9%

After 184 past bullish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Sep 5, 2021Insight: Rats, drought and labour shortages eat into global edible oil recovery-2.6%
• Oct 25, 2024Malaysia’s palm oil surge: What’s driving prices to biggest highs since 2022?+3.9%
• Jul 21, 2017Palm oil demand up as dry U.S. weather seen hurting rival soy crops-0.4%
• Sep 6, 2023Drought, record heat threaten US soybean crop at critical growing stage - High Plains Journal-4.3%
• Aug 31, 2023Drought, Record Heat Threaten U.S. Soybean Crop at Critical Growing Stage - CoBank Site - CoBank-3.3%