US feeder cattle futures ended lower on 10 November after nearing a six-week high as corn prices surged. A USDA report lowered its corn and soybean harvest estimates and raised demand forecasts, pushing corn to its highest since July 2019 and soybeans to their highest since July 2016.
USDA also raised its 2020 beef production estimate.
Lower USDA crop estimates and higher demand forecasts lift corn and soy prices, squeezing feeding margins and reducing what feeders will pay for cattle.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 126 past bearish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.0%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.