CME feeder cattle futures fell to their lowest since March 20 after USDA's cattle on feed report showed April placements up 6% year over year, above analyst expectations. Cattle on feed as of May 1 were up about 2%, also above forecasts.
Packers were losing heavily per head.
Stronger-than-expected placements add feeder supply ahead of summer, pressuring feeder cattle prices and the value of feed demand tied to feedlot inventories.
After 126 past bearish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.0%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 78 past neutral report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.0%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.