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Cattle futures have trended higher since April after a March sell-off tied to COVID-19 demand fears and plant closures. The July cattle on feed report was neutral versus expectations, showing cattle on feed at 100% of last year and heavier supplies lingering in feedlots.
Large numbers of cattle held in feedlots longer signal ample near-term supply, a bearish factor that likely keeps October futures in a consolidation range of 101 to 107.
farmprogress.comNaomi BlohmJul 30, 2020After 78 past neutral report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.0%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 126 past bearish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.0%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
