
CBOT soybean futures rose 4.7% month-on-month to about $15.29/bu on 12 January after USDA cut the US 2022/23 soybean crop estimate by 1.6% to 4.3 billion bushels on lower harvested area. USDA also slashed Argentina's crop by 8%, while soybean oil gained on biodiesel demand.
A bullish US and Argentine supply cut tightens soybean and soymeal availability for feed buyers, and rising biodiesel use keeps soybean oil supported.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.