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The dollar fell in Asia on February 1 after the Trump administration accused Germany and Japan of devaluing currencies for trade advantage. Trump's trade adviser called the euro grossly undervalued and said a proposed US-EU trade deal was dead.
The dollar index ended January down 2.6%, its worst January in three decades.
A sharply weaker dollar and rising trade-policy tension can support US commodity prices in dollar terms, while threats to trade deals add uncertainty for export flows.
business-standard.comReutersJan 31, 2017After 39 past bearish trade events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (26% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.0%), and -0.8% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 12 past bullish trade events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.9%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 250 past neutral trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
