
The US dollar fell against the Canadian dollar for a third straight week, closing at 1.3178 after a more dovish Federal Reserve and the US-China phase-one deal. The deal would cut US tariffs on $150 billion of Chinese goods to 7.5%, while China agreed to raise US farm purchases.
Increased Chinese agricultural purchases from the US support soybean and corn export demand, while a weaker dollar generally supports US commodity prices. The currency effect on Canada is smaller than for other majors.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 39 past bearish trade events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (26% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.0%), and -0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.