
The Australian dollar rose early Thursday after President Trump said a US-China trade deal could happen sooner than expected. The dollar gave back gains as investors weighed a formal impeachment inquiry and a US second-quarter GDP reading of 2%.
Hopes for a US-China trade deal support Chinese demand expectations for US farm exports, though Trump's optimism has often failed to produce deals before.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.