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The dollar fell broadly on December 3, 2018, as currencies hit by US-China trade tensions recovered after the Buenos Aires truce on tariffs. The offshore yuan gained about 1% to 6.8813 per dollar, and the Aussie rose 0.7%.
A tariff truce lowers the risk of Chinese retaliation against US farm exports, which supports soybean demand expectations. The weaker dollar also tends to support commodity prices.
cnbc.comReutersDec 3, 2018After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 22 past bearish trade events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -0.7% to +0.3%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The Buenos Aires US-China tariff truce on Dec 3 weakened the dollar and lifted the offshore yuan about 1% to 6.8813, which directly explains the roughly 1% drop in CNY per USD.
