
The yuan dipped to about 7.30 per dollar as the Trump administration signalled willingness to lower tariffs on China. Bessent called tariffs above 100% unsustainable, and the PBoC set a firmer-than-expected midpoint.
Signs of tariff de-escalation would ease pressure on Chinese purchases of US soybeans and feed ingredients, supporting US export demand.
After 14 past neutral trade events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.2% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.