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Reuters reports China holds large US Treasury holdings and retains them as a possible lever in the trade war. Analyst Setser says letting the yuan depreciate would be a more likely way to raise pressure, and the yuan weakened about 0.25 percent on the day.
A weaker yuan would make US farm imports pricier for China, a possible channel for reduced US soybean and feed demand if Beijing pushes currency depreciation.
reuters.comTrevor HunnicuttApr 4, 2018After 14 past neutral trade events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.2% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 250 past neutral trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
