
The yuan posted its biggest weekly gain since January after reports that Trump asked his cabinet to draft terms for a possible China trade deal ahead of the G20 summit. The People's Bank of China set a stronger daily midpoint, and onshore yuan moved to 6.8898 per dollar.
White House adviser Larry Kudlow later denied the reports.
Hopes of a trade deal support Chinese import demand for US soybeans and feed grains, though the denial reduces confidence. The yuan rally lowers the dollar cost of Chinese purchases.
After 22 past bearish trade events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -0.7% to +0.3%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.