Loading…
Analysis of U.S. customs data shows China's purchases of goods under the Phase One deal rose 25% in August versus June. Corn sales to China soared 513% and soybean sales rose 432% over the same period, though total commitments remain far from met.
Rapid buying lifts U.S. corn and soybean export demand, but a large gap to Phase One commitments leaves the risk that purchases slow if trade relations sour. Price support depends on whether buying is sustained into the U.S. election period.
scmp.comFinbarr BerminghamSep 28, 2020After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
