
China's yuan jumped to a two-week high against the dollar after Beijing announced it would halve tariffs on some US imports effective February 14. Beijing said it hopes to eventually scrap all tariffs in bilateral trade, about three weeks after the Phase 1 trade deal was signed.
Tariff cuts signal de-escalation in the US-China trade dispute and may support future US export flows to China. A stronger yuan also eases the cost of Chinese imports.
After 22 past bearish trade events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -0.7% to +0.3%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.