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The dollar rose to a two-week high on July 1 after the US and China agreed to restart trade talks, with Trump pledging to hold off new tariffs and China agreeing to buy more farm products. Safe-haven currencies such as the yen and Swiss franc fell as equities rallied.
The agreement to buy more US farm goods is supportive for US soybean and grain export demand, while the firmer dollar makes US commodities more expensive for foreign buyers.
cnbc.comReutersJul 1, 2019After 45 past bullish trade events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.4%), and -0.0% over 20.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
