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Grain markets closed the second week of December higher after the US and China agreed to terms of a phase one trade deal. Prices were also supported by higher soybean and corn prices in South America, while the December WASDE brought few changes.
Reduced US-China tariffs and a $40 billion ag purchase commitment improve export outlooks for US grains. Strength in South American markets adds support by tightening global competitive supply.
realagriculture.comBrennan TurnerDec 14, 2019After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
