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Wheat prices were supported by lower Kansas crop ratings, which fell 2 points to 49% good to excellent, and by a US-Brazil deal. The agreement sets a 750,000 tonne duty-free wheat quota in exchange for lower tariffs on Brazilian pork, and the dollar trended lower.
A duty-free import quota for Brazil opens new wheat export opportunities for US supplies, and deteriorating Kansas crop conditions tighten HRW supply, both supportive for wheat prices.
agweek.comRay Grabanski, Progressive AgMar 24, 2019After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 102 past bullish trade events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.0% to +3.5%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 39 past bearish trade events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (26% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.0%), and -0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
