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Rains in European and Black Sea wheat regions pressured wheat contracts early in the week, while USDA crop condition ratings pointed to an average US winter wheat crop despite the Kansas weather event. Egypt bought its first US wheat cargo in over two years, a 115,000 metric ton sale, as part of a 295,000 ton purchase that also included Russian, Romanian and Ukrainian origins.
Funds increased net long positions in Kansas City wheat.
Egypt's purchase of US wheat supports export demand, while Black Sea and European rains add supply pressure. Russian offers at $198 per ton versus US at $185.40 signal competitive pricing for US wheat exports.
agweek.comRay Grabanski, Progressive AgMay 21, 2017After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 102 past bullish trade events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.0% to +3.5%), and -1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
