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Grain markets rallied on the announced US-China Phase One trade deal, which had not yet been signed. March corn futures tested resistance near $3.82 as funds covered shorts, and soybeans rose sharply on Friday before giving back some gains.
Tariff relief and a $40-50 billion Chinese ag purchase commitment support demand for US grains and soybeans. Heavy fund net short positions add short-covering fuel to prices.
moneyshow.comOliver SloupDec 16, 2019After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
