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US grain exports were strong in the third quarter, with China buying aggressively to rebuild reserves and meet Phase I commitments. An August derecho and heat in Iowa cut production expectations, though USDA still projects a 2.5-billion-bushel corn carryout.
Robust Chinese purchases support US corn and soybean prices, though much of the demand is already reflected in USDA balance sheets. Further Chinese buying would be needed to sustain the rally.
hpj.comDave BergmeierOct 3, 2020After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
