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The euro hit a three-week low against the dollar on November 8 after China and the US agreed to roll back some tariffs in a possible phase-one trade pact. Officials remained skeptical about the deal, and the White House said it was optimistic about a deal soon.
Tariff rollbacks on US farm goods would support soybean and other ag export demand from China, while the dollar's rally reflects reduced trade-war risk.
cnbc.comReutersNov 8, 2019After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 45 past bullish trade events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.4%), and -0.0% over 20.
After 23 past trade events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -0.9% to +0.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
