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The Australian dollar fell to its lowest level in a decade after President Trump said he would expand tariffs to virtually all imports from China on September 1. The move followed the Fed's 25bp cut, with traders shifting into safe-haven currencies like the yen and Swiss franc.
Escalating US-China tariffs threaten Chinese demand for US and other farm exports, and the safe-haven shift strengthens the dollar and weakens commodity-linked currencies.
ofx.comThursdayJul 31, 2019Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 45 past bullish trade events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.4%), and -0.0% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
