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Bloomberg reports that the euro could return to parity with the US dollar in 2025, with some market watchers seeing it as virtually inevitable. The currency has been pressured by speculation that US tariffs will hit euro-area exporters and by expectations of more aggressive ECB rate cuts.
Tariff threats on EU exports and a slide toward parity would reinforce dollar strength, supporting a bearish euro against the dollar and making US commodity exports less expensive for European importers.
bloomberg.comAlice AtkinsFeb 3, 2025After 23 past trade events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -0.9% to +0.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 45 past bullish trade events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.4%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
