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The yuan fell to a two-week low against the dollar after Trump proposed extra tariffs on Chinese goods that would stack on the existing 10% levy, bringing the cumulative tariff to 20%. Analysts expect tit-for-tat retaliation unless a deal is reached before March 4.
The PBOC raised its yuan midpoint to slow the decline.
Higher tariffs on Chinese imports raise the risk of Chinese retaliation against US agricultural exports, notably soybeans, which would pressure US soybean prices. A weaker yuan also makes US goods more expensive for Chinese buyers.
brecorder.comReutersFeb 28, 2025After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 40 past bullish trade events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.6% over 5 sessions (75% higher; middle half +0.0% to +1.4%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
