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The offshore yuan fell as much as 6.82 per dollar after Trump threatened to raise tariffs on $200bn of Chinese goods from 10% to 25% and add $325bn more. The PBOC lowered its yuan midpoint to its weakest level in two and a half months.
Renewed tariff threats raise the risk of Chinese retaliation against US farm goods, which weighs on US soybean and feed demand and pressures prices.
cnbc.comWeizhen TanMay 6, 2019After 40 past bullish trade events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.6% over 5 sessions (75% higher; middle half +0.0% to +1.4%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
