US tariffs on $34 billion of Chinese goods took effect on Nov 1, 2019, and China retaliated with duties on several US products including soybeans. Soybean prices had already declined for weeks in anticipation.
Farmers said the tariffs add to financial strain.
Retaliatory tariffs make US soybeans less competitive in China, the largest importer, shifting demand to Brazil and pressuring US soybean and meal prices.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.