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US crude settled 2.3% lower after President Trump ordered trade officials to consider tariffs on an extra $100 billion of Chinese imports, reigniting trade war fears. Brent for June delivery traded 1.8% lower, and both benchmarks were headed for their biggest weekly decline since early March.
Escalating US-China tariff threats raise the risk of Chinese retaliation against US crude and agricultural exports, weighing on energy demand and US export flows for soybeans and corn.
cnbc.comReutersApr 6, 2018After 80 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.2% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -6.9% to +0.8%), and -1.5% over 20.
After 56 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -5.6% over 5 sessions (20% higher; middle half -9.0% to -1.7%), and -4.5% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
