Soybean oil futures fell on the first trading day after President Trump suggested he might delay his summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping later this month. US biofuel credits also dropped to a one-month low.
Delay of the US-China summit raises doubts over Chinese purchase commitments, pressuring soybean and soyoil prices. Weaker biofuel credits reduce the incentive for renewable diesel feedstock demand.
After 152 past bearish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Soybean oil slid after Trump suggested delaying the Xi summit, which hurt China demand sentiment, and US biofuel credits fell to a one-month low.
Soyoil fell on the summit-delay threat and biofuel credits dropped to a one-month low, adding pressure on soybean crush value.