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Chinese crushers and vegetable oil processors resold at least 10 cargoes of Brazilian soybeans and palm oil over two weeks as crush margins fell sharply. Brazilian loading was slow and China's soyoil futures fell to a one-week low.
Gross margins for May shipments of Brazilian beans were around negative $3 per tonne.
Cargo resales and negative crush margins reduce near-term Chinese import demand for soybeans and vegetable oils, which pressures prices across these oilseeds.
fastmarkets.comJohnny HuangFeb 3, 2021After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 158 past bearish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.8%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 152 past bearish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
