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Chinese crushers washed out several cargoes of US soybeans last week because crush margins tightened after CBOT futures hit a four-year high following USDA's cut to 2020 ending stocks. Dry weather in Brazil also raised doubts about its expected record harvest of around 140 million mt.
Weak Chinese crush margins threaten US export demand and could pressure US soybean prices, while Brazilian drought risk supports prices.
fastmarkets.comJohnny HuangNov 23, 2020After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 224 past neutral trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.2%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
