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Crude palm oil prices in Indonesia and Malaysia slipped on October 31, 2025, after China agreed to buy 12 million tons of US soybeans this year. Expected soyoil demand from that deal weighed on palm oil prospects.
A large Chinese soybean purchase supports soyoil demand and competes with palm oil, which pressures palm prices.
palmoilmagazine.comPalmoilmagazineNov 1, 2025After 158 past bearish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.8%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 224 past bullish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
China's pledge to buy 12 million tons of US soybeans boosted expected soyoil supply/demand competition, weighing on palm prices going into the Nov 3 drop.
