
Global vegetable oil prices fell this week as tariff tensions escalated, with the BMD crude palm oil benchmark dropping to $1,049/mt from $1,074. Malaysian exports fell 10.95% in February while Indonesian exports rose 39%.
Trade-war uncertainty and softer export demand weigh on palm and other vegoil prices, though tight Malaysian stocks may limit downside.
After 158 past bearish trade events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.8%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 152 past bearish trade events, SBO moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.